Markets/🏛 Politics/election

Will Babu Owino run with a DCP ticket for Nairobi Governor in the 2027 Kenyan General Election?

🇰🇪KenyaelectionEng
$15,271.31 vol 45 traders 174 trades
Closes in
414D
14H
08M
14S

Probability Timeline

VotePapa
Mar 25, 04 PMMar 31, 12 AMMar 31, 01 PMMar 31, 04 PMMar 31, 06 PMApr 1, 04 PM0%25%50%75%100%
$15,271.31 total volume

Outcomes

Yes
35.8%
No
64.2%

This market resolves YES if Paul Ongili (Babu Owino) is officially nominated or files as a candidate for Nairobi Governor on a Democratic Congress Party (DCP) ticket, as confirmed by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) nomination lists or official candidacy documents before the 2027 General Election. Resolves NO if he runs on any other party ticket (e.g., ODM), independently, or does not run at all. In case of multiple tickets or coalitions involving DCP, resolves YES only if DCP is the primary sponsoring party per IEBC records. Market closes upon IEBC nomination announcement or election filing deadline.

Settlement Fee: A 7.5% fee applies to profits when this market resolves in your favor. No fee is charged if you don't profit.

BUYYESYes@rogero
$38.4304:21 PM
BUYYESYes@winnie_w3
$60.5606:40 PM
SELLNONo@martinm88
$96.0806:40 PM
BUYYESYes@oscarogutu
$10006:39 PM
SELLYESNo@paulnekesa
$226.5106:39 PM
SELLNONo@krotich_
$76.606:39 PM
SELLYESYes@lilchep_ke
$83.1806:39 PM
BUYNONo@mercynyam
$10006:39 PM
SELLYESYes@vic_langat7
$70.2306:39 PM
SELLYESYes@pat_ouma
$19.3906:39 PM
BUYYESNo@ireneach_
$198.1206:39 PM
BUYYESYes@stevemusy
$112.4706:39 PM
SELLNONo@winnie_w3
$75.0406:39 PM
BUYYESYes@gwekesa01
$10006:39 PM
BUYYESNo@collinso_m
$435.1106:39 PM

About this Market

Babu Owino, the leading contender in recent polls for the 2027 Nairobi Governor race with 31% support, is currently affiliated with ODM but faces speculation about switching to a DCP ticket amid Kenya's fluid political alliances. This market resolves based on his official nomination or candidacy filing. Recent surveys show a tight race with Agnes Kagure at 30% and Dennis Waweru at 24%.[1]

Market Info

Category

🏛 Politics

Country

🇰🇪Kenya

Market Type

binary

Volume

$15,271.31

Closes

May 22, 2027

Created

Mar 25, 2026

Resolution Source

Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) official nomination lists and candidacy filings